Statball

← All live games · Yankee Stadium

Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
16
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678915119
Sox · 7 H, 0 EYankees · 18 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, third baseman Amed Rosario to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Andruw Monasterio grounds into a double play, shortstop José Caballero to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Wilyer Abreu out at 2nd. Andruw Monasterio out at 1st.
top 9Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 8Cody Bellinger pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
bot 8Austin Wells homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–16
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. walks.
bot 8José Caballero homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Luis García Jr. scores. Amed Rosario scores.1–14

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 2-4 · Trevor Story 2-3 · Wilyer Abreu 2-3
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Wells 2-2, 2 HR, 5 RBI · José Caballero 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 3-6, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.