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Houston Astros
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 9 H, 0 EYankees · 5 H, 2 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Amed Rosario flies out sharply to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
bot 9George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Daulton Varsho strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Allen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.
top 9Isaac Paredes walks. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.
top 9Yordan Alvarez hit by pitch.
top 9Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremy Peña 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-4 · José Caballero 1-3 · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.