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Houston Astros
9
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
7
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 14 H, 0 EYankees · 10 H, 2 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cody Bellinger flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 9Luis García Jr. pops out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
bot 9Ben Rice flies out sharply to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
top 9Nelson Velázquez strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Cam Smith scores. Yainer Diaz to 2nd. Yainer Diaz advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Cody Bellinger.97
top 9Cam Smith triples (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham.
top 9Christian Walker strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Daulton Varsho strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yainer Diaz 3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremy Peña 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 3-5, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 4-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Cody Bellinger 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · José Caballero 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.