Statball

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Houston Astros
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
9
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891112142
Astros · 4 H, 1 EYankees · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nelson Velázquez strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Walker grounds out sharply, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Daulton Varsho grounds out to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cody Bellinger pops out to first baseman Christian Walker in foul territory.
bot 8Luis García Jr. homers (28) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Rice scores.39
bot 8Ben Rice walks.
bot 8Trent Grisham flies out to right fielder LaMonte Wade Jr.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-3, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 1-4
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Rice 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.