Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
8
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 5 H, 0 EYankees · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Charles McAdoo strikes out swinging.
top 9Daz Cameron strikes out swinging.
top 9Ernie Clement lines out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Jones.
bot 8Luis García Jr. grounds out, second baseman Charles McAdoo to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 8Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
bot 8Trent Grisham homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.38
bot 8José Caballero pops out to shortstop Ernie Clement.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Myles Straw 2-3 · George Springer 1-4 · Alejandro Kirk 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trent Grisham 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Jones 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.