Statball

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Seattle Mariners
1
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
0
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Mariners · 5 H, 1 EYankees · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9Luis García Jr. grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Brendan Donovan pops out to shortstop George Lombard Jr.
top 9Josh Naylor grounds out sharply, shortstop George Lombard Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Cal Raleigh called out on strikes.
bot 8Heliot Ramos grounds out sharply, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Ben Rice lines out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Weston Wilson 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4 · Randy Arozarena 1-3
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 2-4 · Ali Sánchez 1-2 · Trent Grisham 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.