Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 15 H, 0 EYankees · 4 H, 2 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Trent Grisham strikes out swinging.
bot 9José Caballero grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brett Bateman.
top 9Nathan Lukes strikes out swinging.
top 9Ernie Clement doubles (29) on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
top 9George Springer flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 8George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Lukes 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · George Springer 3-5, 1 RBI · Ernie Clement 2-5
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4 · Austin Wells 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.