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Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
3
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 9 H, 0 EYankees · 4 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brett Bateman strikes out swinging.
top 9Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Charles McAdoo flies out to left fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela hits a ground-rule double (9) on a line drive down the left-field line.
bot 8Trent Grisham called out on strikes.
bot 8George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ben Rice walks.
bot 8Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 3-5 · Jesús Sánchez 2-4 · Ernie Clement 1-4
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Heliot Ramos 1-3 · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.