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Seattle Mariners
5
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
10
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 9 H, 0 EYankees · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Julio Rodríguez grounds out, shortstop George Lombard Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.
top 9Randy Arozarena grounds into a force out, shortstop George Lombard Jr. to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Taylor Ward out at 2nd. Randy Arozarena to 1st.
top 9Leo Rivas called out on strikes.
top 9Taylor Ward singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 8Spencer Jones flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Ben Rice called out on strikes.
bot 8Trent Grisham homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. George Lombard Jr. scores.510

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 3-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Spencer Jones 2-4, 3 RBI · Ryan McMahon 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.