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Pittsburgh Pirates
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 7 H, 0 EYankees · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jazz Chisholm Jr. pops out to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
bot 10Jasson Domínguez pops out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
bot 10Cody Bellinger strikes out swinging.
top 10Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out swinging.
top 10Bryan Reynolds strikes out swinging.
top 10Brandon Lowe walks.
top 10Jake Mangum singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Billy Cook scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.53
top 10Jared Triolo singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Nick Gonzales scores. Billy Cook to 2nd.43

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jacob Gonzalez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Mangum 2-5, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ryan McMahon 1-4 · Jasson Domínguez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.