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Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Pirates · 3 H, 0 EYankees · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Esmerlyn Valdez walks.
top 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out softly, pitcher Will Warren to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.
top 9Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8Ben Rice grounds into a double play, second baseman Brandon Lowe to shortstop Jacob Gonzalez to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Ali Sánchez out at 2nd. Ben Rice out at 1st.
bot 8Trent Grisham pops out to second baseman Brandon Lowe in foul territory.
bot 8Ali Sánchez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jared Triolo.
top 8Jacob Gonzalez lines out to center fielder Trent Grisham.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 2-4 · Jared Triolo 1-3 · Jacob Gonzalez 0-1
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ali Sánchez 1-3 · Jasson Domínguez 1-3, 1 RBI · Anthony Volpe 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.