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Pittsburgh Pirates
5
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
8
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 9 H, 2 EYankees · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Mangum lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8José Caballero grounds into a double play, pitcher Dennis Santana to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Austin Wells out at 2nd. José Caballero out at 1st.
bot 8Austin Wells singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
bot 8Ryan McMahon flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 8Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
top 8Jacob Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by shortstop José Caballero.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 2-4 · Jacob Gonzalez 1-2
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · José Caballero 2-4, 2 RBI · Austin Wells 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.