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Minnesota Twins
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 6 H, 0 EYankees · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tristan Gray called out on strikes.
top 9Ryan Kreidler strikes out swinging.
top 9Victor Caratini strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. grounds out sharply, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Royce Lewis.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt lines out sharply to third baseman Brooks Lee.
bot 8Cody Bellinger grounds out to first baseman Royce Lewis.
top 8Royce Lewis grounds into a force out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Kyler Fedko out at 2nd.
top 8Josh Bell walks.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Keaschall 2-3 · Victor Caratini 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Rice 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Caballero 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.