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Detroit Tigers
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 11 H, 0 EYankees · 3 H, 2 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Oswaldo Cabrera lines out to center fielder James Outman.
bot 9Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 9Cody Bellinger called out on strikes.
top 9Zach McKinstry pops out to shortstop Anthony Volpe.
top 9Kerry Carpenter hits a ground-rule double (5) on a fly ball to left-center field.
top 9Hao-Yu Lee grounds out softly, catcher Ali Sánchez to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Spencer Torkelson lines out to third baseman José Caballero.
bot 8Ben Rice strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 2-5 · Hao-Yu Lee 2-5, 2 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-4, 2 RBI
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Amed Rosario 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Spencer Jones 2-3 · José Caballero 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.