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Detroit Tigers
6
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 6 H, 0 EYankees · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Jazz Chisholm Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 11Amed Rosario grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 11Cody Bellinger flies out to right fielder Matt Vierling.
top 11James Outman flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 11Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder José Caballero. Riley Greene scores. Hao-Yu Lee scores. Spencer Torkelson scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd. Throwing error by catcher Ali Sánchez.62
top 11Spencer Torkelson walks. Kevin McGonigle scores. Riley Greene to 3rd. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.32
top 11Hao-Yu Lee walks.
top 11Camilo Doval intentionally walks Riley Greene.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dillon Dingler 2-5 · Zach McKinstry 1-5, 2 RBI
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Amed Rosario 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-5 · José Caballero 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.