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Cincinnati Reds
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 7 H, 0 EYankees · 7 H, 3 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Anthony Volpe lines out sharply to center fielder Blake Dunn.
bot 9Ali Sánchez flies out to center fielder Blake Dunn.
bot 9Amed Rosario lines out sharply to center fielder Blake Dunn.
top 9Blake Dunn strikes out swinging.
top 9Edwin Arroyo walks.
top 9Tyler Stephenson grounds out, third baseman Amed Rosario to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9Noelvi Marte hits a ground-rule double (4) on a fly ball to right field. Spencer Steer scores.41
top 9Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Stephenson 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Noelvi Marte 2-4, 1 RBI · Blake Dunn 2-4
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-3 · Amed Rosario 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.