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Cincinnati Reds
10
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 15 H, 3 EYankees · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Paul Goldschmidt flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
bot 9J.C. Escarra singles on a ground ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
bot 9Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Jones flies out sharply to center fielder Blake Dunn.
top 9Blake Dunn flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Edwin Arroyo singles on a line drive to center fielder Spencer Jones. Matt McLain to 2nd.
top 9Jose Trevino flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Matt McLain grounds into a force out, third baseman José Caballero to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Noelvi Marte out at 2nd. Matt McLain to 1st.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Edwin Arroyo 4-5 · Spencer Steer 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Sal Stewart 2-4, 6 RBI
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Paul Goldschmidt 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jasson Domínguez 2-3 · Cody Bellinger 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.