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Chicago White Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 6 H, 1 EYankees · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jasson Domínguez called out on strikes.
bot 9Cody Bellinger flies out to left fielder Sam Antonacci.
bot 9Paul Goldschmidt singles on a fly ball to center fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 9Ben Rice flies out sharply to center fielder Tristan Peters.
top 9Jacob Gonzalez strikes out swinging.
top 9Sam Antonacci grounds out sharply, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9Braden Montgomery flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8J.C. Escarra flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
13 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Colson Montgomery 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrew Benintendi 1-1, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Luisangel Acuña 1-2
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan McMahon 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-3 · Spencer Jones 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.