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Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 4 H, 0 EYankees · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Steer flies out sharply to center fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 8J.C. Escarra grounds out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Ryan McMahon lines out sharply to center fielder Blake Dunn.
bot 8Anthony Volpe singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Spencer Jones to 2nd.05
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. walks.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Blake Dunn 2-3 · Nathaniel Lowe 1-4 · Eugenio Suárez 1-4
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jasson Domínguez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.