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Chicago White Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
12
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 4 H, 1 EYankees · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
top 9Braden Montgomery flies out to right fielder José Caballero.
top 9Luisangel Acuña grounds out sharply, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 8Ben Rice flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 8Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Everson Pereira, deflected by shortstop Chase Meidroth. J.C. Escarra to 2nd.
bot 8J.C. Escarra walks.
bot 8Ryan McMahon grounds out, second baseman Sam Antonacci to first baseman Drew Romo.
bot 8José Caballero homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.212

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
12 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Andrew Benintendi 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tristan Peters 1-3 · Luisangel Acuña 1-2, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
José Caballero 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Jones 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.