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Chicago White Sox
5
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
10
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893112251
Sox · 11 H, 1 EYankees · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Miguel Vargas flies out sharply to center fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Andrew Benintendi strikes out swinging.
top 9Chase Meidroth grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Sam Antonacci homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.510
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. grounds out to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
bot 8Jasson Domínguez grounds into a force out, first baseman Jacob Gonzalez to shortstop Colson Montgomery. Cody Bellinger out at 2nd. Jasson Domínguez to 1st.
bot 8Cody Bellinger walks.
bot 8Ryan McMahon lines out to third baseman Miguel Vargas.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
12 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Colson Montgomery 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Edgar Quero 3-4 · Sam Antonacci 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.