Statball

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Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
6
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 6 H, 0 EYankees · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Mickey Gasper lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Masataka Yoshida grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
bot 8José Caballero called out on strikes.
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Trent Grisham scores. Anthony Volpe scores.16
bot 8Anthony Volpe walks.
bot 8Trent Grisham singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Amed Rosario scores.13
bot 8Amed Rosario singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4 · Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 RBI · Anthony Seigler 1-1
New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Trent Grisham 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.