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Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 7 H, 1 EYankees · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Trent Grisham grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9José Caballero flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
bot 9Amed Rosario walks. Max Schuemann to 2nd.
bot 9Anthony Volpe called out on strikes.
bot 9Max Schuemann walks.
top 9Mickey Gasper called out on strikes.
top 9Marcelo Mayer strikes out swinging.
top 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Andruw Monasterio 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Connor Wong 1-3
New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Jones 3-3, 1 RBI · Trent Grisham 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.