Statball

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Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 9 H, 1 EYankees · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Trent Grisham flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Amed Rosario flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Willson Contreras grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Nick Sogard scores. Jahmai Jones to 2nd.6–0
top 9Jahmai Jones walks.
top 9Eli White strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Sogard doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Andruw Monasterio scores.5–0

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 3-4 · Wilyer Abreu 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Sogard 2-4, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 1-2 · José Caballero 1-2 · Spencer Jones 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.