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Cleveland Guardians
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
4
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 9 H, 0 EYankees · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9José Caballero pops out to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.
bot 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9Cody Bellinger out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Steven Kwan. Paul Goldschmidt scores.54
bot 9Paul Goldschmidt doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez.
top 9Brayan Rocchio grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9Patrick Bailey strikes out swinging.
top 9Steven Kwan grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 8Ben Rice flies out to left fielder Angel Martínez.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Manzardo 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Rhys Hoskins 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
José Caballero 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.