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Cleveland Guardians
9
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
4
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 12 H, 1 EYankees · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cody Bellinger grounds out, first baseman Kyle Manzardo to pitcher Matt Festa.
bot 9Paul Goldschmidt called out on strikes.
bot 9Ben Rice lines out to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
top 9Daniel Schneemann flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Angel Martínez strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Manzardo walks.
top 9Chase DeLauter strikes out swinging.
bot 8Austin Wells strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Manzardo 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Ramírez 3-5, 2 RBI · Steven Kwan 2-4
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Paul Goldschmidt 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Cody Bellinger 2-5 · Ben Rice 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.