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Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 2 H, 0 EYankees · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Chase DeLauter grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Angel Martínez grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Travis Bazzana grounds out softly, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Trent Grisham grounds out, first baseman Rhys Hoskins to pitcher Matt Festa.
bot 8Max Schuemann strikes out swinging.
top 8Rhys Hoskins pops out to shortstop José Caballero.
top 8José Ramírez pops out to third baseman Ryan McMahon in foul territory.
top 8Kyle Manzardo lines out to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 1-4 · Stuart Fairchild 1-2, 1 RBI · Chase DeLauter 0-1
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-4 · Ryan McMahon 1-3, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.