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Tampa Bay Rays
0
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Rays · 7 H, 0 EYankees · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Aaron Judge homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Max Schuemann scores.02
bot 9Trent Grisham walks.
top 9Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
top 9Cedric Mullins singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Taylor Walls to 2nd.
top 9Taylor Walls ground bunts into a force out, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to shortstop José Caballero. Nick Fortes out at 2nd. Taylor Walls to 1st.
top 9Nick Fortes walks.
top 9Chandler Simpson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Austin Wells grounds into a double play, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Ryan McMahon out at 2nd. Austin Wells out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 2-4 · Ryan Vilade 1-3 · Jonathan Aranda 1-4
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Aaron Judge 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trent Grisham 2-3 · Ryan McMahon 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.