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Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 8 H, 0 EYankees · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Aaron Judge flies out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 9Trent Grisham grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Austin Wells to 2nd.
bot 9Austin Wells walks.
bot 9Ryan McMahon strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
top 9Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge.
top 9Taylor Walls strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Nick Fortes strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-5 · Cedric Mullins 2-4 · Richie Palacios 1-3, 2 RBI
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Wells 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trent Grisham 3-5 · José Caballero 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.