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Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 8 H, 1 EYankees · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Amed Rosario strikes out swinging.
bot 9Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, pitcher Louis Varland to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Cody Bellinger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.21
bot 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Louis Varland. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.
bot 9Cody Bellinger doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Myles Straw.
bot 9Aaron Judge called out on strikes.
top 9Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela flies out sharply to center fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Myles Straw grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Jesús Sánchez 2-2 · Ernie Clement 1-4 · Daulton Varsho 1-4
New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4 · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4, 1 RBI · Cody Bellinger 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.