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Toronto Blue Jays
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893132
Jays · 9 H, 0 EYankees · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kazuma Okamoto grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9Daulton Varsho singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Ernie Clement to 3rd.
top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Andrés Giménez scores.45
top 9George Springer lines out, pitcher Camilo Doval to first baseman Ben Rice. Ernie Clement to 2nd.
top 9Ernie Clement singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Andrés Giménez to 3rd.
top 9Andrés Giménez walks.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt called out on strikes.
bot 8Anthony Volpe lines out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 4-5 · Ernie Clement 1-1 · Andrés Giménez 1-3, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan McMahon 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ben Rice 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Anthony Volpe 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.