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Toronto Blue Jays
6
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
7
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 9 H, 2 EYankees · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9George Springer strikes out swinging.
top 9Yohendrick Piñango walks.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela strikes out swinging.
top 9Jesús Sánchez doubles (6) on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Ernie Clement scores.67
top 9Ernie Clement walks.
bot 8Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ernie Clement 1-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Lenyn Sosa 1-3
New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cody Bellinger 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.