Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
9
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 4 H, 1 EYankees · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dylan Beavers lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 8Aaron Judge called out on strikes.
bot 8Ben Rice walks.
bot 8Trent Grisham pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 8José Caballero grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
top 8Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
top 8Colton Cowser walks.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 53 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-2, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-4
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 4-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Trent Grisham 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan McMahon 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.