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Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
11
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 1 EYankees · 15 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.
top 9Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham.
top 9Leody Taveras pops out to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
bot 8Austin Wells flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 8Jasson Domínguez doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.311
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Paul Goldschmidt scores.310
bot 8Cody Bellinger walks. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Blaze Alexander 2-4, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4 · Jeremiah Jackson 1-4
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Jasson Domínguez 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Aaron Judge 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Rice 2-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.