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Kansas City Royals
0
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
7
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789313
Royals · 6 H, 0 EYankees · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Isaac Collins called out on strikes.
top 9Starling Marte hit by pitch.
top 9Lane Thomas grounds out, second baseman Amed Rosario to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Salvador Perez pops out to shortstop José Caballero.
bot 8Trent Grisham flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Cody Bellinger lines out sharply to center fielder Lane Thomas.
top 8Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Elias Díaz 2-3 · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-3 · Starling Marte 1-3
New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Aaron Judge 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Rice 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.