Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
7
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 3 H, 0 EYankees · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Samuel Basallo lines out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
top 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, pitcher Jake Bird to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Taylor Ward called out on strikes.
bot 8Cody Bellinger strikes out swinging.
bot 8Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Austin Wells scores. Ben Rice to 2nd.27
bot 8Ben Rice singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Austin Wells to 2nd.
bot 8Paul Goldschmidt flies out sharply to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Trent Grisham flies out to right fielder Dylan Beavers.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-4 · Blaze Alexander 1-3
New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · José Caballero 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Aaron Judge 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.