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Kansas City Royals
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
13
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 7 H, 1 EYankees · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Isaac Collins strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Massey doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Amed Rosario. Tyler Tolbert scores. Carter Jensen scores.413
top 9Carter Jensen walks.
top 9Jac Caglianone grounds out to first baseman Ben Rice. Tyler Tolbert to 2nd.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino flies out to right fielder Amed Rosario.
top 9Tyler Tolbert singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Randal Grichuk out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Ryan McMahon scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.213

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Tolbert 1-1 · Michael Massey 1-4, 2 RBI
New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 3-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Amed Rosario 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ben Rice 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.