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Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 4 H, 0 EYankees · 5 H, 2 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jonathan India strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone strikes out swinging.
top 9Lane Thomas lines out to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.
top 9Carter Jensen walks.
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ryan McMahon homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores.24
bot 8Ben Rice singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Giancarlo Stanton strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lane Thomas 1-4 · Jac Caglianone 1-4
New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan McMahon 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Aaron Judge 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.