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Miami Marlins
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
6
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 7 H, 1 EYankees · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9J.C. Escarra strikes out swinging.
bot 9Anthony Bender intentionally walks Austin Wells.
bot 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie. Cody Bellinger scores. Ben Rice scores.76
bot 9Giancarlo Stanton called out on strikes.
bot 9Ben Rice walks. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.
bot 9Cody Bellinger walks.
bot 9Aaron Judge grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Graham Pauley.
top 9Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 2-4, 3 RBI · Austin Slater 2-3 · Otto Lopez 2-3, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Aaron Judge 2-5 · Giancarlo Stanton 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.