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Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
8
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 4 H, 1 EYankees · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Liam Hicks flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
top 9Agustín Ramírez hit by pitch.
top 9Xavier Edwards lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8Giancarlo Stanton strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ben Rice doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores.28
bot 8Cody Bellinger walks.
bot 8Trent Grisham walks.
bot 8Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Owen Caissie 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Agustín Ramírez 1-3
New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Aaron Judge 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ben Rice 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Cody Bellinger 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.