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Miami Marlins
7
0% — our call
Final
New York Yankees
9
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Yankees
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Yankees in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 15 H, 1 EYankees · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Yankees win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Yankees win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
top 9Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Liam Hicks to 3rd. Xavier Edwards to 2nd.
top 9Owen Caissie strikes out swinging.
top 9Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Otto Lopez scores. Liam Hicks to 2nd.79
top 9Liam Hicks walks.
top 9Heriberto Hernández grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Ben Rice. Otto Lopez to 2nd.
top 9Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.
bot 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. pops out to third baseman Javier Sanoja in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 3-4, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-5, 2 RBI · Agustín Ramírez 2-3, 1 RBI
New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Aaron Judge 2-4, 1 RBI · Austin Wells 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.