Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
10
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 9 H, 0 EMets · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis Arraez grounds out, first baseman Brett Baty to pitcher Tobias Myers.
top 9Bryce Harper pops out to third baseman Bo Bichette.
top 9Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
bot 8Marcus Semien flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 8A.J. Ewing called out on strikes.
bot 8Carson Benge singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Bryson Stott. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.3–10
bot 8Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryce Harper. Nick Morabito scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd.3–9
bot 8Juan Soto singles on a line drive to left fielder Edmundo Sosa. Brett Baty scores. Nick Morabito to 3rd. Francisco Lindor to 2nd.3–8

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Bohm 2-3, 2 RBI · Luis Arraez 2-5 · Trea Turner 2-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brett Baty 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.