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Philadelphia Phillies
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 6 H, 0 EMets · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9J.T. Realmuto flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Bryson Stott lines out sharply to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Brandon Marsh flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 8Bo Bichette grounds into a double play, pitcher Tanner Banks to catcher J.T. Realmuto to first baseman Alec Bohm. Brett Baty out at home. Bo Bichette out at 1st.
bot 8Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryce Harper. Brett Baty to 3rd. Francisco Lindor to 2nd.
bot 8Francisco Lindor singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Edmundo Sosa. Brett Baty to 2nd.
bot 8Luis Torrens flies out to second baseman Luis Arraez.
bot 8Brett Baty walks.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Edmundo Sosa 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Derek Hill 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Carson Benge 2-3, 1 RBI · Francisco Lindor 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.