Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
3
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 8 H, 0 EMets · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
bot 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
bot 9Carson Benge flies out to right fielder Derek Hill.
bot 9Bo Bichette singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.
top 9Trea Turner grounds out, first baseman Mark Vientos to pitcher Austin Warren.
top 9Kyle Schwarber pops out to catcher Francisco Alvarez.
bot 8Juan Soto grounds out to first baseman Alec Bohm.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 3-4, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 2-3 · Brandon Marsh 1-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 1-4 · Mark Vientos 1-2 · Carson Benge 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.