Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
5
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 8 H, 1 EMets · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Carson Benge flies out sharply to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 11Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Francisco Alvarez scores.7–5
bot 11Juan Soto grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.
bot 11Francisco Lindor flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 11Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
top 11Christian Encarnacion-Strand singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge, deflected by first baseman Jared Young.
top 11Coby Mayo hits an inside-the-park home run (24) on a fly ball to center field. Leody Taveras scores. Dylan Beavers scores.7–4
top 11Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Coby Mayo 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 3-6, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.