Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
2
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 0 EMets · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Lindor flies out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez grounds out sharply, third baseman Coby Mayo to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Brett Baty flies out to right fielder Heston Kjerstad.
top 9Dylan Beavers strikes out swinging.
top 9Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
top 9Colton Cowser singles on a line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Heston Kjerstad to 3rd. Heston Kjerstad advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Heston Kjerstad singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heston Kjerstad 2-4, 1 RBI · Jackson Holliday 2-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 2-4 · Francisco Alvarez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.