Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 1 EMets · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brett Baty grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9A.J. Ewing singles on a ground ball to left fielder Rece Hinds, deflected by shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 9Marcus Semien flies out to right fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 9Jared Young grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Heston Kjerstad strikes out swinging.
top 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
top 9Rece Hinds singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Samuel Basallo to 2nd.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Samuel Basallo 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 2-4 · Bo Bichette 1-4 · Brett Baty 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.