Statball

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San Francisco Giants
9
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
5
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 10 H, 1 EMets · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Lindor flies out to left fielder Turner Hill.
bot 9Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Brett Baty doubles (19) on a fly ball to left fielder Turner Hill. Jared Young scores. A.J. Ewing scores.9–5
bot 9Francisco Alvarez grounds out, third baseman Shay Whitcomb to first baseman Rafael Devers. Jared Young to 3rd. A.J. Ewing to 2nd.
bot 9A.J. Ewing walks. Jared Young to 2nd.
bot 9Marcus Semien flies out to center fielder Jonah Cox.
bot 9Jared Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder Grant McCray.
top 9Jonah Cox grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Christian Koss flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Christian Koss 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Grant McCray 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jared Young 2-4 · Brett Baty 1-3, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.