Statball

← All live games · Citi Field

Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112221
Astros · 10 H, 1 EMets · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Marcus Semien flies out to left fielder Nelson Velázquez.
bot 9A.J. Ewing doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 9Luis Robert Jr. pops out to second baseman Jose Altuve.
bot 9Christopher Morel pops out to catcher Yainer Diaz in foul territory.
top 9Jose Altuve grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Isaac Paredes pops out to first baseman Jared Young in foul territory.
top 9Yordan Alvarez flies out to left fielder Luis Robert Jr.
bot 8Carson Benge flies out to second baseman Jose Altuve.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremy Peña 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Allen 3-4 · LaMonte Wade Jr. 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.