Statball

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Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 4 H, 0 EMets · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Taylor Trammell lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Christian Walker flies out sharply to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Jose Altuve to 3rd.
top 9Daulton Varsho lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Jose Altuve doubles (18) on a fly ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 8Francisco Lindor grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez doubles (12) on a fly ball to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Jared Young scores. Marcus Semien scores.2–6
bot 8Luis Robert Jr. pops out to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8A.J. Ewing out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Isaac Paredes to second baseman Jose Altuve. Jared Young to 3rd. Marcus Semien to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-4 · Jeremy Peña 1-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jared Young 3-4, 3 RBI · Brett Baty 2-3 · Marcus Semien 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.